Japan’s rising defence budget is now nearly on par with Russia

Premier Kishida calls for 57% budget increase over 5 years starting in April 

JAPANESE Prime Minister Fumio Kishida has ordered a sharp defence spending hike that could see his long-pacifist country’s defence budget balloon to near the levels spent by Russia. 

Kishida instructed ministers to put together a budget of about ¥43 trillion (RM1.46 trillion) for the five-year period starting in April, Defence Minister Yasukazu Hamada said on Dec 5. That’s up 57% on the ¥27 trillion initially budgeted for the current five-year period. 

The change of direction for Japan, which has retained a US-drafted pacifist constitution since its defeat in World War II, comes after the country was shocked by Russia’s invasion of 

Ukraine. China’s threats toward Taiwan and North Korea’s atomic ambitions have also lent support for Tokyo to embark on one of its largest military build-ups in decades. 

A poll conducted by the Yomiuri newspaper over the weekend found 51% of respondents approved of a hike to more than ¥40 trillion, while 42% disapproved. 

The money is set to be used for items such as stockpiling missiles that are capable of striking military assets in neighbours Russia, China and North Korea. Another goal over the next 10 years would be to triple the number of military units equipped with ballistic missile interceptors in a southwestern island chain that stretches toward Taiwan, Kyodo News reported on Dec 5, citing a draft of a government document. 

The news met with criticism from China. “Japan has been sensationalising regional tensions in an attempt to seek a military breakthrough,” Foreign 

Ministry spokeswoman Mao Ning said at a regular news briefing in Beijing on Dec 6. 

“This is highly dangerous. It cannot but put Asian neighbours and the international community on high alert about Japan’s commitment to an exclusively defensive policy and to peaceful development,” she said. 

Kishida’s increase could mean Japan leapfrogs countries like Saudi Arabia and France to become the world’s fifth-largest defence spender and reaches annual spending about level with Russia, based on 2021 figures provided by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. The slump in the yen against the dollar in recent months will mean the cash may not go as far as in the past. 

Ministries and ruling Liberal Democratic Party politicians have wrangled over the extent of the increase, which will place another strain on the finances of the deeply indebted and aging nation. 

The premier called for a concrete plan by the end of the year to fund the increase, including spending reforms and use of non-tax revenues as well as taxes, Hamada said. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki told reporters on Dec 6 that adjustments would be needed to secure the necessary funds for the five-year period. 

The government is set to reveal how it plans to use the funds in revised national security documents and an annual budget to be unveiled later this month. 

Kishida has also ordered ministers to aim to raise total defence-related spending to 2% of GDP over the same five-year period. While Japan isn’t a member of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, that would meet the target set for members. 

The figure is likely to be made up of Defence Ministry spending and other items such as research and coastguard funding, which have previously been counted separately. Bloomberg


  • This article first appeared in The Malaysian Reserve weekly print edition