Despite the time, Muhyiddin may still need to face an internal objection from the current PN partner, Umno
by AFIQ AZIZ / pic by MUHD AMIN NAHARUL
THE crossover of MPs from the Opposition bloc to the Perikatan Nasional (PN) administration will allow Prime Minister (PM) Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin to “take a breather”, before deciding on the date to reconvene the Dewan Rakyat.
Political analysts said with more MPs expected to shift their support for PN, as hinted by the party’s information chief Datuk Seri Mohamed Azmin Ali, the PM would be able to buy some time to ensure the PN government remains in power.
Over the weekend, Azmin indicated that there will be few other MPs that will leave the Opposition bloc to support the ruling coalition.
His remarks, made on his Twitter, came a few hours after Kuala Langat MP Datuk Dr Xavier Jayakumar announced his resignation from PKR, where he was also the VP.
“Muhyiddin will have some buying time before he can recall the Parliament sitting,” said University Malaya political analyst Associate Prof Dr Awang Azman Awang Pawi.
“While MPs from PKR or other parties are said to support Muhyiddin, what will be the guarantee that Umno lawmakers will toe the line?” Awang Azman said.
At present, some Umno MPs have declared withdrawing their support from Muhyiddin — with the latest being former Barisan Nasional (BN) secretary general Datuk Seri Mohamed Nazri Abdul Aziz, the day the emergency was proclaimed.
Mohamed Nazri’s move left the PN bloc with only 109 MPs out of a total of 220 MPs in the house.
Awang Azman said Muhyiddin would try his best to strengthen the PN coalition while quickly sorting out the seat allocation between Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia and Umno.
The Parliament is suspended from Jan 12 to Aug 1, 2021, in line with the emergency proclamation by Yang di-Pertuan Agong Al-Sultan Abdullah Ri’ayatuddin Al-Mustafa Billah Shah.
The move was to allow the government to focus on battling the Covid-19 pandemic, although it was not lost on the government’s critics that the PN government reportedly did not command a majority support when Muhyiddin advised the Yang di-Pertuan Agong on the proclamation.
On Feb 24, the Yang di-Pertuan Agong said the Parliament may convene during the emergency period on a date considered appropriate by the ruler, based on the advice of the PM.
Despite the time, Muhyiddin may still need to face an internal objection from the current PN partner — Umno.
Umno had said that the party will not be a part of PN for the 15th General Election (GE15).
“There are few possibilities. While Opposition MPs crossover to support Muhyiddin, some Umno factions may pull out from the ruling coalition and cause Muhyiddin to lose his majority,” Awang Azlan said.
“He can seek the King to dissolve the Parliament, but the question is, has the seat allocation for GE15 been resolved between Umno, PAS and Bersatu?” said Awang Azman.
“Having said that, there is a possibility that the situation of post GE15 would be the same as the last election, with no majority alliance to form the government,” he added.
Universiti Teknologi Malaysia senior lecturer (political study) Dr Mazlan Ali predicted three-cornered fights between BN, PN and Pakatan Harapan at almost all constituencies in the GE15.
“If this happens, likely there will be a status quo of what we are seeing now, with no single alliance commanding the majority in Parliament,” he said.
As a result, Mazlan said there are possibilities for another series of political realignment after the election results are announced, which will make the formation of alliance and its manifesto during the election campaign irrelevant.
“This includes the partnership of Umno and DAP post GE15, as the political events that emerged in the recent years are extraordinary and beyond our expectations as before.
“The political realignment is very dynamic,” Mazlan told The Malaysian Reserve.
Read our previous report here