The unintended fallout of Trump’s steel tariff — solar going abroad

Companies are boosting overseas sourcing, including from China, Malaysia and Mexico

By BLOOMBERG

NEW YORK • The Trump administration imposed a tariff on steel imports last year to get companies to buy more American metal. In some ways, the US solar business is doing the exact opposite.

Consider the case of PanelClaw Inc, a supplier of steel racks that hold solar panels in place. Since US President Donald Trump slapped tariffs on steel and aluminium last year, the Massachusetts- based company has boosted its sourcing of completed racks from India, allowing it to skirt some of the duties that apply to raw metals only.

While PanelClaw still acquires racks made domestically with American steel, the company can partly “avoid the tariff” by importing the rest, CEO Constantino Nicolaou said in a telephone interview.

PanelClaw isn’t alone. California- based Nuance Energy, another solar-racking company, has also boosted overseas sourcing, including from China, Malaysia and Mexico, since the steel tariffs were imposed.

Increasing overseas sourcing further is “on the table” if tariffs rise, CEO Brian Boguess said by phone.

Difficult Luxury
Here’s the downside: Looking overseas won’t boost US jobs. “We like creating jobs locally,” Nicolau said.

But “the luxury became much more difficult with the steel tariff”.

Steel prices for US buyers rose about 14% last year after Trump, contending that foreign metal threatened US national security, slapped tariffs on all steel imports under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962. Tariffs raise the price of imports to make them on par with domestic goods.

Unlike other commodities, steel is priced regionally. So, American steel costs about 44% more than Chinese steel and about 31% more than European steel, meaning US metal is the most expensive in the world right now for consumers. A key reason: The tariffs.

But the obscure trade law applied only to raw steel, leaving value-added products of the metal, such as car parts, airplane parts and, yes, solar parts, shielded from the tax.

Company Warnings
In the months before and after the imposition of steel and aluminium tariffs, US companies that use metals warned that the duties would raise raw-material costs, cutting into their margins.

At the time, demand continued rising, and customers continued to pay higher prices set by steelmakers including Nucor Corp and steel consumers such as Caterpillar Inc.

But uncertainty during the final quarter of 2018 smothered the boom narrative. Companies didn’t exactly predict contraction, but they started sending signals that the tariffs were eroding the strong demand that they had seen in the earlier part of the year.

Now, they suggested that the second half of 2019 is difficult to predict.

“Even with the price of US steel coming down, it’s still advantageous to buy imported steel,” said Gordon Johnson, a New York-based analyst at Vertical Group who focuses on solar and metals.

Analysts speculated that one of the unintended consequences of the metal tariffs would compel domestic producers of finished steel products to move plants outside the US. This would allow the companies to source the cheapest metal they could find anywhere in the world, then produce parts that could be sold tariff-free back into the US. There’s also the matter of financing.

Boguess said his company has been absorbing the tariff for imported material, meaning it pays more for foreign metal than domestic metal.

But foreign sellers are providing favourable terms, which dissuades the use of domestic metal.

The tariffs may already be having a perverse impact on exports from the US. They prompted California-based NEXTracker Inc, for example, to reduce exports, said CEO Dan Shugar.

The company, which helps solar farms track the sun, could do so because it already sources and supplies systems on several continents.

Like NEXTracker, PanelClaw already had access to an overseas supply chain. Back in 2009, amid growth, it conducted a global manufacturing search and identified options in China and India.

“We thought there’d be an administration at some point that would go after China over trade imbalance,” Nicolaou said. So, PanelClaw settled on India.

Among solar companies, the pain of the tariffs has been especially acute for racking companies that source the equipment needed to affix solar panels to the ground or atop roofs.

Steel is prominent in racking, so companies that can build such systems with less of it could be favoured if the tariff endures.

Steel also makes up about a quarter of the cost to install solar-car ports, said Tom Werner, CEO of SunPower Corp, one of the biggest US solar panel manufacturers.

Solar Farms
Developers of US solar farms are also feeling the pinch. The tariffs can add one or two cents per watt to project costs, which could mean up to US$1.5 million (RM6.09 million) more to develop a 75MW project, according to developer Cypress Creek Renewables LLC.

“That means we have less money to invest in our future pipeline of projects,” said Mike Belikoff, an executive VP at Cypress Creek. — Bloomberg