Korea trade falls in another bearish sign for world

By BLOOMBERG

SEOUL • South Korea’s exports fell in December in the latest sign that the slowdown in China and the global trade war is weighing on global commerce.

Shipments decreased 1.2% in the month from a year earlier, lower than the 2.5% increase forecast by economists.

Exports to China dipped 13.9% compared to a 14.8% rise a year earlier.

The downbeat data follows reports from the world’s biggest economies that show factories ended 2018 on a sluggish note.

Five US Federal Reserve indexes of regional manufacturing all slumped in December, the first time they’ve fallen in unison since May 2016, and China’s manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index dropped to the weakest since early 2016 and below the 50 level that denotes contraction.

Bloomberg’s Global Trade Checkup is softening amid a fading rush to front-load export orders ahead of threatened tariffs, with economists warning 2019 will be the year the global economy feels the strain of trade tensions.

Concerns are rising that South Korea’s export growth will wane in 2019 as the trade conflict between Washington and Beijing drags on. Many of Korea’s exports to China consist of intermediate goods that go into finished products that are shipped to the US and elsewhere.

Shipments of semiconductors, which dominate the country’s exports, fell 8.3% from a year earlier as large IT companies adjusted investment in data centres and memory chip supply shortage eased, the Trade Ministry said yesterday.